|"When you try to pull just one thing out of the Universe, you find it attached to everything else." --John Muir|
pdf copy of paper syllabus
Previous semester Old exam examples for exams 1 and 2.
Course videotutorials on LP and simulation with EXTEND--also on the course CD
Need to review or fill in your notes? Check the recorded sessions from the online course, Fall, 2006.
Online course recordings from Fall 2006--play from the web.
Download a zipped file of the 2006 online course (650 MB-this is a huge file, but it can be downloaded at school and put on a 1 MB flash drive or burned to CD for transport) Download by right click save target as. Convenience copies of these are also available on CD from instructionalvideotutorials.com
Videotutorials on Statistics in EXCEL
Historical Course Grade Distribution
Possibly useful websites on course grade distributions and instructor ratings http://ratemyprofessors.com http://pickaprof.com
Online Resources: Excellent EXCEL Videotutorials from DataPigTechnologies
You may need access to a computer where you can install the software from the book to do the exercises. You should also have a copy of Microsoft Office on your computer so you can do the EXCEL assignments at home. Try the bookstore for the Academic version Office Pro at a very reasonable price. You may have to go back to your install CDs and do a custom install to get SOLVER.
Special announcements go here:Exercise 3, Diet LP due Monday November 5.
Quiz 7 had typos, everybody got full credit, here is a corrected copy with answers
Fall 2007 Exam 1 distribution
Exam Copy Fall07 & Answer KeyFall07
Group Quiz one will be finished in
class on January 25. This is the only quiz given out ahead of time, the
rest will be in class.
Computer Exercise 1, Budgets--due TBA see instructions below.
Application Research Project-- Simulation in EXTEND or with Macros
in EXCEL, LP with POM-QM or Solver. Real data, novel problem. Don't pull
something out of a textbook or redo the fastfood diet problem.
Due last day of Class--before intensive study days. I won't accept any
assignments after that day, as I am committed to getting everything graded
and grades in on time.
Exams and Computer exercises are designed
and analyzed to detect copying and other cheating. Cheating on
exams or assignments is not tolerated and will result in formal disciplinary
|You will need the Course CD and access to a computer if you want to do something with the EXTEND software. Extend software (V6) is distributed on the Course CD's with permission of the Publisher of the Heizer- Render text, Prentice Hall. There is a second earlier (V4) version on the course CD ROM that has the software installed in a way so it can be run directly from the CD, but the school machines have a memory configuration issue that interferes. Note that files saved from V6 don't work in V4. Unlike all my materials on the CD, you do not have permission to distribute the EXTEND or Pom Win software to people outside the course. see the discussion on the CD.|
Slight adjustment in Al Gore's "Statistics about "Warmest years on record"This probably won't get as much publicity as the original reports, but seems the 1930's- 1940's, when carbon dioxide was much less significant, were warmer than recent years in the US.
NASA was forced to admit errors in their calculations. The reticence to admit the errors is a statement about how some "researchers" are invested in the $50 billion of our tax money spent on "global warming research" each year.
Dollars and energy costs of producing ethanol for Fuel"Since petroleum products are used to produce corn and convert it to ethanol, it's questionable whether there is any net energy produced in the process."
I think I may have overstated this a little, as there have been changes in oil prices and the technology of ethanol production since the data I was remembering, and I have to offer some balance on it.
To be fair, that there is a lively debate on this, with the Corn-producer's
groups (ethanol.org) vehemently challenging the assertions of researchers
at Cornell and Berkley who calculate that there is substantially more energy
used to produce the ethanol than is derived from burning it in your automobile.
There are a lot of aspects and arguments about this, but you can read some of the arguments and decide for yourself.
Here are some readings:http://healthandenergy.com/ethanol.htm
You can find a lot more from google searches and make up your own mind
about it. Although things continue to change, my own impression at this
time is that corn ethanol for fuel is more of a pork barrel subsidy to
folks like Archer -Daniels-Midland than a solution to our gas problems.
Certainly, it's not the solution to "high cost" of energy, as it costs
more per unit of energy from ethanol than from oil. There may also be some
potential transportation and corrosion problems lurking in the infinite
miscibility of ethanol and water.
|Due dates for Computer exercises:||Due|
|#2 factor rating||2.5%|
|#3 EXCEL&POM-WIN LP||10%|
|Don't do #4 and #5|
|#4 simulation||watch the video only||exam question|
|#5 Simpson's paradox--Pivottables||Watch the videos only||exam question|
|Original research using LP/solver, Monte Carlo Simulation or Pivottables||10% and used for borderline decisions|
This course is important to me, and I want to make it better. I learn a lot by teaching this course and from student suggestions. Written comments are much more useful than the summary statistics I get from filled in bubbles. The comments you write on the course evaluations don't get to me until months after grades are in and are anonymous, so you should feel comfortable to write what you think. I routinely share these comments with my area coordinator ("boss") Dr. Robert Nauss. If you would rather make a comment to him directly, his E-mail address is email@example.com
| Bud's Statistics Book sites:
to UM-St. Louis School of Business Page
last modified September 8, 2007~~ comments and suggestions to bud_banis (at) umsl . edu